I’ve already given you my forecast and betting advice for the primary event at UFC 218 (Aldo vs Holloway). Now the moneylines and props are outside for the remainder of the card, it is time to get a UFC 218 deep dip.
Which underdogs have value? Which fights should bettors avoid? Do you put together a parlay from the conflicts on tap? Let us take a look.
UFC Predictions and 219 Odds: Cyborg vs. Holm
There’s not any large’dog calling out to me. But there’s 1 person on this card who could withstand some odds.
Francis Ngannou (-270) vs. Alistair Overeem (+230)
Alistair Overeem might get merked by a larger and stronger puncher in Francis Ngannou, however in the +230, he is well worth throwing a few pennies at. Normally I would place this fight from the stay-away category, but this is a significant test for Ngannou, a guy who really hasn’t been analyzed yet.
Overeem is a veteran of the game and, though his chin might be suspect, he’s one of the greatest fight IQs from the heavyweight division. Kickboxing capability and his smarts could provide a big upset to us together with a profit. Don’t go crazy on this, however. Ngannou deserves to be preferred. Overeem is well worth a small wager.
Felice Herrig (-140) vs. Cortney Casey (+110)
Cortney Casey is not a huge dog, but her +105 moneyline would still net you a good yield and/or boost a parlay. Both fighters have looked solid, but stylistically, Casey appears to get the strength and size to give Herrig problems. The single woman who has been able to fit Casey’s physicality was Claudia Gadelha and that woman is among the finest in the branch. If Casey can pour on the pressure, she can overwhelm Herrig and pick up a small upset win . Again, don’t go crazy and throw down your whole bankroll, but Casey is well worth a couple of shekels.
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