This weekend, we’ve got an 11-fight card in Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some decent contests for us to win a lot of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. They also possess a Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will attempt to receive my 3rd seat this week to maximum it if I could. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at that $30k prize, then I will probably take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me, this is a simple stack in money week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned several times in the past, we do not want 6 wins in money games, so play with those kind of games all you have to do is conquer half the field. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to cash in most cash games. Even in case you’ve got a solid lean on this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP drama of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik gets the highest ITD line on the card at -140 and he can hit 100+ DK points from getting that in around 1. The worry here will be him being on his back in around 1 and scoring zero points during that and then going out and getting a KO in round 2. Or no KO at all. Either of these would take him off the perfect lineup so we want this struggle to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that is very possible and he’ll be a core GPP play of mine . He isn’t the greatest cash game play though because he can be put on his back and be stuck there and perhaps even lose the battle that way. I am OK with him in cash, but I won’t be making a priority like I will being overweight in GPPs.
Drama of the week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This betting line is all about pickem’ with a small lean towards Dos Santos. But, Ewell is your preferred on DraftKings and is $400 greater than ADS. Ewell is also the striker so for him to score tremendously he is going to need a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength however. Ewell has difficulty staying off his spine and when ADS can place him there he could possibly submit him. Or he could rack up numerous takedowns for a high decision rating. I enjoy the value we are getting on him $7.9k and that I like he should be looking to grapple in this fight. That is the reason why I needed to select him as my puppy of this week.
Fade of the week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There are no real easy fades this week. I really do have a complete fade on Kondo however because she seems to be purely a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s best path to success is through grappling. If Kondo is not in a striking match for 15-minutes I really don’t see how she scores tremendously unless she gets a finish. I don’t believe she has KO power, so I believe it’s purely the substantial strikes and the triumph bonus which we’d be relying on here. I’d rather take a fighter with more of a opportunity to finish or who is more likely to grapple. That is exactly why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I am 81-51 to get +251.89u (+$25,189) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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