UFC 236 occurs Saturday night in Atlanta, and you can watch the five-fight main card reside on ESPN+. The card is ripe with exciting fights through the night, but the majority of fans will probably be most-interested in the event’s final two fights for the interim middleweight and lightweight titles.
We already have you covered with in-depth gambling analysis on the primary and co-main occasion…
Max Holloway & Dustin Poirier Rematch for Lightweight Gold
Can Kelvin Gastelum Steal Israel Adesanya’s Spotlight?
… but that doesn’t mean we can’t find out a thing or 2 on the night’s additional 11 fights!
What follows is a short breakdown on each matchup in UFC 236 in an effort to discover enough about each fighter to make a more educated wager on them if your heart desires.
UFC 236
Interim Lightweight Title Fight: Max Holloway (-205) vs. Dustin Poirier (+165)
Poirier has been on a war path since returning to light-weight April, 2015. Overall, he has won eight of his last 10 battles and suffered only one loss (KO into Michael Johnson) and one no contest in his first fight against Eddie Alvarez. Poirier ranks first among busy UFC lightweights in dramatic differential per minute at +2.69.
Both Poirier (7.11 strikes per second ) and Holloway (6.9) rank among the top-five highest-volume strikers from the total UFC. Holloway’s volume is similar to an avalanche that becomes more-and-more overwhelming as the fight continues.
Holloway’s last fight was arguably the best championship performance in UFC history. In general, his 290 significant strikes in a fight broke the UFC championship album.
Holloway opened the week as a -230 favored, but activity has come in heavily on Poirier ever since.
Interim Middleweight Title Fight: Kelvin Gastelum (+150) vs. Israel Adesanya (-185)
Gastelum was able to record at least one knockdown against former winners Jacare Souza, Michael Bisping, Chris Weidman and Vitor Belfort throughout his hellacious run through the middleweight division. His constant barrages of one-two combinations have been difficult for practically all of his opponents do cope with during his career.
Israel’The Last Stylebender’ Adesanya is a former Glory Kickboxing winner that has rung up a 16-0 record to start his mixed martial arts profession. He won’t need anything related to Gastelum — a state championship wrestler in high school — about the ground, but we have yet to see some come near out-classing Adesanya on the toes throughout his five UFC wins.
Adesanya opened the week as a -175 favorite, but has since transferred to -185 supporting the public’s support.
Light Heavyweight Fight: Eryk Anders (-200) vs. Khalil Rountree (+160)
Anders played linebacker under Nick Saban at Alabama from 2006-2009 before beginning his mixed martial arts career. These three of Anders’ livelihood losses have come in his last four fights, but these were two split-decision losses combined with one TKO reduction via referee stoppage during his short-notice light heavyweight debut against Thiago Santos, who’ll fight Jon Jones to the division’s championship in July.
Rountree recorded the biggest success of his career at UFC 226 against long-time championship kickboxer Gokhan Saki, but has been pumped out by increasing contender Johnny Walker past November. Rountree’s career striking differential of -0.99 has made it tough for him to win fights by any way aside from a conclusion, and he’s consequently lost both of his livelihood UFC fights that have made it beyond the first round.
Welterweight Fight: Alan Jouban (-120) vs. Dwight Grant (-110)
Jouban will probably be providing up a five-inch advantage advantage to Grant. This is uncharted territory for Jouban during his 11-fight UFC career, but he’s 3-1 in fights with a reach benefit of at least three inches. Meanwhile, the Grant is 1-1 at the UFC with a success over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (75-inch reach) and a split-decision reduction to Zak Ottow (72-inch achieve ).
The x-factor within this struggle could wind up being volume. Jouban finds himself one of the top-10 welterweights in UFC history in knockdowns landed (No. 4), important strike accuracy (No. 7), strikes landed per minute (No. 3) and striking differential (No. 4).
Light Heavyweight Fight: Ovince Saint Preux (-110) vs. Nikita Krylov (-120)
Krylov has literally had a struggle go to the judges in 30 livelihood MMA fights. This includes 10 fights within the Octagon, that were showcased three wins by TKO/KO and three by submission in contrast to three losses by entry and one by TKO.
This is actually a rematch from UFC 171, when OSP defeated Krylov by first-round entry. The finish comprised Saint Preux’s signature entry: The Von Flue choke.
UFC 236 Prelims
Lightweight Fight: Jalin Turner (-140) vs. Matt Frevola (+110)
Turner boasts massive elevation (6-foot-3 vs. 5-foot-9) and attain (77 inches vs. 71) advantages over Frevola, although that edge could be mitigated when the latter fighter is able to instigate his takedown-heavy assault. Turner was last observed starching Callan Potter in only 53 seconds back in UFC 234 in February.
Flyweight Fight: Wilson Reis (+130) vs. Alexandre Pantoja (-160)
Reis is presently the UFC’s No. 4 ranked flyweight ahead of his departure with fifth-ranked Alexandre Pantoja. Although Reis has lost three of his past four fights, they’ve come from a high-level competitors like John Moraga, current flyweight champion Henry Cejudo and former champion Demetrious Johnson. Both Reis (12:08) and Pantoja (11:58) have typical fight times that would indicate we’ll see this fight last to the next round.
Welterweight Fight: Max Griffin (-105) vs. Zelim Imadaev (-125)
Imadaev opened the week with -115 odds. Public assistance has come in on the undefeated Russian, who has won all eight of the struggles by TKO or KO. He is making his debut within the octagon against Max Griffin, who has lost four of his last six fights dating back to August, 2016. There is a little bad blood here, as Griffin sparred with Imadaev once upon a time and had this to say about his opponent…
“He’s an ass, guy. He is not a good guy… I really don’t like the man… I am looking forward to showing him what it’s like.”
Bantamweight Fight: Boston Salmon (-150) vs. Khalid Taha (+120)
Boston’Boom Boom’ Salmon has only lost once in seven career fights (by split-decision). Salmon won his final fight against Ricky Turcios on the debut episode of Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. He’ll hold a four-inch height advantage of Taha, who has lost two of his last 3 fights. Backing Salmon in his ancient -135 odds was one of my favourite bets on the card, but he offers a little bit of worth at his present -150 odds.
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UFC 236 Historical Prelims
Welterweight Fight: Curtis Millender (+115) vs. Belal Muhammad (-145)
Millender fought just last month at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos, finally losing by submission (rear-naked choke) into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Muhammad has also been busy, as he suffered a unanimous decision loss to Geoff Neal back in January at UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw. Millender boasts three and four inch height and reach advantages, respectively, though Muhammad has been a lot more of a takedown hazard during his UFC career.
Bantamweight Fight: Montel Jackson (-550) vs. Andre Soukhamthath (+375)
Jackson started the week as a -500 favorite, but has since moved even higher. He’s the largest favorite on the card. Soukhamthath is 13-6 as a professional and is being fed to Jackson, who has dropped only once in eight career bouts.
Women Strawweight Fight: Lauren Mueller (+145) vs. Poliana Botelho (-175)
Both these girls have high striking rates and do not waste their time getting started. This is particularly true for Botelho, who notched the third-fastest finish in the history of this UFC women’s division back in May, 2018.
Bantamweight Fight: Brandon Davis (-170) vs. Randy Costa (+140)
Costa is undefeated in four professional fights, while Davis is only 9-5. Both fighters are making a debut of sorts, as Costa will be within the octagon for the very first time in his career, while Davis has apparently never fought at 135 lbs.
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